Sigmund, Michael; Stein, Ingrid - In: Credit and Capital Markets – Kredit und Kapital 50 (2017) 3, pp. 299-336
This paper contributes to the literature on early warning indicators by applying a Bayesian model averaging approach. Our analysis, based on Austrian data, is carried out in two steps: First, we construct a quarterly financial stress index (AFSI) quantifying the level of stress in the Austrian...