This paper aims to model the probability of a borrower violating an asset value covenant in a shipping bank loan agreement, where the main collateral (the vessel) exhibits very high price volatility. We estimate a logistic regression model on the largest dataset of shipping bank loans examined...

This paper investigates whether dynamic volatility spillovers across shipping freight markets can be explained by a comprehensive set of indicators capturing shipping investors’ sentiment. The results of this study reveal that an increase of the ratio of second-hand vessel price over...

Shipping freight rates are notoriously volatile and shipping investors are perceived to be risk-loving. This paper explores the stochastic properties of freight rates in the shipping industry and derives the analytical equations for their moments in downside and upside markets using a two-piece...