E, Buttrey Samuel; R, Washburn Alan; L, Price Wilson - In: Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports 7 (2011) 3, pp. 1-18
We propose a model to estimate the rates at which NHL teams score and yield goals. In the model, goals occur as if from a Poisson process whose rate depends on the two teams playing, the home-ice advantage, and the manpower (power-play, short-handed) situation. Data on all the games from the...