Kugler, Jacek; Yesilada, Birol; Efird, Brian - In: Conflict Management and Peace Science 20 (2003) 1, pp. 43-71
This paper provides a forecast of the likely consequences of ongoing US military activity in Afghanistan, and assesses the implications of a change in the current US policy toward that nation. We use a game theoretic, bounded rationality model, called the Expected Utility model, to analyze the...