We study how millions of granular and weekly household scanner data combined with machine learning can help to improve the real-time nowcast of German inflation. Our nowcasting exercise targets three hierarchy levels of inflation: individual products, product groups, and headline inflation. At...

We study how millions of highly granular and weekly household scanner data combined with novel machine learning techniques can help to improve the nowcast of monthly German inflation in real time. Our nowcasting exercise targets three hierarchy levels of the official consumer price index. First,...

We study how millions of granular and weekly household scanner data combined with machine learning can help to improve the real-time nowcast of German inflation. Our nowcasting exercise targets three hierarchy levels of inflation: individual products, product groups, and headline inflation. At...

Das Projekt analysiert die Preiswirkungen der Mehrwertsteuersenkung im Juli 2020 sowie die der entsprechenden Anhebung im Januar 2021 im Rahmen des Konjunkturpakets der Bundesregierung im Zuge der Corona-Pandemie. Die Untersuchung basiert auf Scannerdaten der GfK, die Informationen über die...

We study how millions of highly granular and weekly household scanner data combined with novel machine learning techniques can help to improve the nowcast of monthly German inflation in real time. Our nowcasting exercise targets three hierarchy levels of the official consumer price index. First,...

We investigate co-movements and heterogeneity in inflation dynamics of different regions within and across euro area countries using a novel disaggregate dataset to improve the understanding of inflation differentials in the European Monetary Union. We employ a model where regional inflation...

Das Projekt analysiert die Preiswirkungen der Mehrwertsteuersenkung im Juli 2020 sowie die der entsprechenden Anhebung im Januar 2021 im Rahmen des Konjunkturpakets der Bundesregierung im Zuge der Corona-Pandemie. Die Untersuchung basiert auf Scannerdaten der GfK, die Informationen über die...

Since 2014 the ECB has implemented a massive expansion of monetary policy including large-scale asset purchases and negative policy rates. As the euro area economy has improved and inflation has risen, questions concerning the future normalization of monetary policy are starting to dominate the...

How do prices affect inequality and living standards worldwide? To address existing biases in the measurement of prices and expenditure patterns across countries, this paper introduces a new global scanner database. This dataset provides harmonized barcode-level data on expenditures and prices...