In the context of some multi-criteria decision-making methods, such as the Analytic Hierarchy Process, an expert is required to compare entities, e.g. alternatives and criteria. However, often, for various reasons, the expert cannot provide judgments on all pairs of entities. For these cases,...

Realized covariance matrices (RCs) are an important input to asses the risks involved in different investment allocations and it is thus useful to model and forecast them. To this end generalized autoregressive score (GAS) models are employed in this paper. These models are ideal for comparing...

In this work we present a new method for Quickest Change Detection (QCD) and Quickest Hub Discovery (QHD) in correlation structures that geometrically represents solutions from asymptotic Random Matrix theory (RMT) consistently, and allows to incorporate new distance metrics for both tests. We...

We investigate the performance of non-linear return prediction models in the high complexity regime, i.e., when the number of model parameters exceeds the number of observations. We document a "virtue of complexity" in all asset classes that we study (US equities, international equities, bonds,...