Search Results - subject:"Counterfactuals"

Physical and Metaphysical Counterfactuals: Evaluating Disjunctive Actions

Pearl, Judea - In: Journal of Causal Inference 5 (2017) 2

Abstract The structural interpretation of counterfactuals as formulated in Balke and Pearl (1994a,b) [ 1 , 2 ] excludes …{or}~X=x_2)$ . In contrast, the closest-world interpretation of counterfactuals (e.g. Lewis (1973a) [ 3 ]) assigns truth values … process of “mass-shifting” among possible worlds, to define disjunction in structural counterfactuals. We show that every …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014610862

Differences in Positions along a Hierarchy: Counterfactuals Based on an Assignment Model

Gobillon, Laurent; Meurs, Dominique; Roux, Sébastien - 2017

We propose an assignment model in which positions along a hierarchy are attributed to individuals depending on their characteristics. Our theoretical framework can be used to study differences in assignment and outcomes across groups and we show how it can motivate decomposition and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011653454

The cost of sanctions : estimating lost trade with gravity

Hinz, Julian - 2017

Economic sanctions are a frequently used tool of foreign policy. Constraining trade flows towards or from the target country is supposed to coerce its government into changing certain policies. However, sanctions constitute an obstacle to trade, thereby affecting flows of all countries,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011746005

House prices and monetary policy in the euro area : evidence from structural VARs

Nocera, Andrea; Roma, Moreno - 2017

We use a Bayesian stochastic search variable selection structural VAR model to investigate the heterogeneous impact of housing demand shocks on the macro-economy and the role of house prices in the monetary policy transmission, across euro area countries. A novel set of identification...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011659335

Differences in positions along a hierarchy : counterfactuals based on an assignment model

Gobillon, Laurent; Meurs, Dominique; Roux, Sébastien - 2017

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011641785

What provides justification for cheating-producing or observing counterfactuals?

Bassarak, Claudia; Leib, Margarita; Mischkowski, Dorothee; … - In: Journal of behavioral decision making 30 (2017) 4, pp. 964-975

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011805874

Community-based reasoning in games: Salience, rule-following, and counterfactuals

Hédoin, Cyril - In: Games 7 (2016) 4, pp. 1-17

emphasizes the importance of counterfactuals in strategic interactions. In particular, the existence of rules does not reduce to …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011709905

Community-based reasoning in games : salience, rule-following, and counterfactuals

Hédoin, Cyril - In: Games 7 (2016) 4, pp. 1-17

emphasizes the importance of counterfactuals in strategic interactions. In particular, the existence of rules does not reduce to …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011620508

Measurement of inequality of opportunity based on counterfactuals

Van de Gaer, Dirk; Ramos Morilla, Xavier - In: Social choice and welfare 55 (2020) 3, pp. 595-627

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012295667

Causes, theories, and the past in political science

Gordon, Sanford C.; Simpson, Hannah K. - In: Public choice 185 (2020) 3/4, pp. 315-333

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012302846