Search Results - subject:"Expert forecast"

What will (and should) sustainable digital maturity look like in business ecosystems A Delphi study on the best practices, barriers and regulation of digital transformation

Petani, Fabio James; Zaoui, Ishraf; Kovalev, Sergey; … - In: International journal of entrepreneurship and small … 49 (2023) 1, pp. 87-122

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014311492

Do expert experience and characteristics affect inflation forecasts?

Benchimol, Jonathan; Shagi, Makram el-; Saadon, Yossi - In: Journal of economic behavior & organization : JEBO 201 (2022), pp. 205-226

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013418810

Forecast performance in times terrorism

Benchimol, Jonathan; Shagi, Makram el- - In: Economic modelling 91 (2020), pp. 386-402

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012429087

What do Professional Forecasters actually predict?

Nibbering, Didier; Paap, Richard; van der Wel, Michel - 2015

In this paper we study what professional forecasters actually explain. We use spectral analysis and state space modeling to decompose economic time series into a trend, a business-cycle, and an irregular component. To examine which components are captured by professional forecasters we regress...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011403556

What do professional forecasters actually predict?

Nibbering, Didier; Paap, Richard; Wel, Michel van der - 2015

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011305773

Expert forecast and realized outcomes in technology foresight

Apreda, Riccardo; Bonaccorsi, Andrea; Orletta, Felice dell' - In: Technological forecasting & social change : an … 141 (2019), pp. 277-288

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012133105

Probabilistic load forecasting via Quantile Regression Averaging of independent expert forecasts

Hong, Tao; Maciejowska, Katarzyna; Nowotarski, Jakub; … - Hugo Steinhaus Center for Stochastic Methods, … - 2014

Probabilistic load forecasting is becoming crucial in today's power systems planning and operations. We propose a novel methodology to compute interval forecasts of electricity demand, which applies a Quantile Regression Averaging (QRA) technique to a set of independent expert point forecasts....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010799028

What do professional forecasters actually predict?

Nibbering, Didier; Paap, Richard; Wel, Michel van der - In: International journal of forecasting 34 (2018) 2, pp. 288-311

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012030904

Expert opinion versus expertise in forecasting

Franses, Philip Hans; McAleer, Michael; Legerstee, … - Faculteit der Economische Wetenschappen, Erasmus … - 2008

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010837791

Expert opinion versus expertise in forecasting

Franses, Ph.H.B.F.; McAleer, M.J.; Legerstee, R. - Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute - 2008

expert forecast that is based on an econometric model is replicable, and can be defined as a replicable expert forecast (REF …), whereas an expert opinion that is not based on an econometric model can be defined as a non-replicable expert forecast (Non … an econometric model. An expert forecast that is based on an econometric model is replicable, and can be defined as a …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005056580