This paper estimates a simple univariate model of expectation or opinion formation in continuous time adapting a 'canonical' stochastic model of collective opinion dynamics (Weidlich and Haag, 1983; Lux, 1995, 2007). This framework is applied to a selected data set on survey-based expectations from...

In this paper we discuss subdiffusive mechanism for the description of some stock markets. We analyse the fractional Black–Scholes model in which the price of the underlying instrument evolves according to the subdiffusive geometric Brownian motion. We show how to efficiently estimate the...

Исследуется актуальная проблема моделирования нестационарных временных рядов экономической динамики. Предложенный подход к моделированию временных рядов...

We discuss the impact of volatility estimates from high frequency data on derivative pricing. The principal purpose is to estimate the diffusion coefficient of an Itô process using a nonparametric Nadaraya–Watson kernel approach based on selective estimators of spot volatility proposed in the...