Big data technology has revolutionized the research paradigm of economic forecasting regardless of the data source, forecasting method, or forecasting result. This study evaluates the current literature on economic forecasting using big data and employs bibliometric approaches to offer a...

We test for state-dependent bias in the European Central Bank's inflation projections. We show that the ECB tends to underpredict when the observed inflation rate at the time of forecasting is higher than an estimated threshold of 1.8%. The bias is most pronounced at intermediate forecasting...