Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Onorante, Luca; Paesani, Paolo - DIW Berlin (Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung) - 2009
This paper estimates a time-varying AR-GARCH model of inflation producing measures of inflation uncertainty for the … inflation uncertainty have declined steadily since the inception of EMU, whilst short-run uncertainty has increased, mainly … inflation uncertainty by lowering the inflation rate. …