This paper provides new survey evidence on firms' inflation expectations in the euro area. Building on the ECB's Survey … on the Access to Finance of Enterprises (SAFE), we introduce consistent measurement of inflation expectations across … firms' inflation expectations and show that firms disagree about future inflation more than professional forecasters but …

structural BVAR with narrative restrictions. The impact of adverse supply chain disruption shocks on inflation expectations and …-2022 period. The dynamics of core prices and inflation expectations are instead mostly explained by supply chain disruption shocks …

well as core inflation risk premia, at daily frequency, whereas core inflation expectations from surveys or macroeconomic … find that monetary policy shocks significantly lower core inflation expectations. …

When inflation picks up, central banks are most concerned that the de-anchoring of inflation expectations and the …

We propose a new model to decompose inflation swaps into genuine inflation expectations and risk premiums. We develop a …

been caused by commodity price shocks and supply bottlenecks, rather than shortages in the labour market. Inflation … expectations were found to be well-anchored and evidence for a wage-price spiral is scarce. The model predicts a gradual decline in …

offers a consistent framework that ties together wage growth, inflation expectations and price inflation. It is used to study … inflation in this period. Though the Belgian replication of the model predicts sensitive short-term inflation expectations to …