Benoit, Jean-Pierre; Dubra, Juan; Moore, Don - Facultad de Ciencias Empresariales y Economía, … - 2013
We conduct two experiments of the claim that people are overconfident, using new tests of overplacement that are based on a formal Bayesian model. Our two experi- ments, on easy quizzes, find overplacement. More precisely, we find apparently over- confident data that cannot be accounted for by a...