Search Results - subject:"Leading Indicators"

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Political parties in power and U.S. economic performance

Chittenden, William T. - In: The international journal of business and finance … 14 (2020) 2, pp. 21-36

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012312100

Daily tracker of global economic activity : a close-up of the Covid-19 pandemic

Pérez-Quirós, Gabriel; Diaz, Elena - 2020

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012372857

The yield spread's ability to forecast economic activity : what have we learned after 30years of studies?

Evgenidis, Anastasios; Papadamou, Stephanos; … - In: Journal of business research : JBR 106 (2020), pp. 221-232

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012158357

Commodity and transportation economic market interactions revisited : new evidence from a dynamic factor model

Angelopoulos, Jason; Sahoo, S.; Visvikis, Ilias D. - In: Transportation research / E : an international journal 133 (2020), pp. 1-15

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012164790

Early real estate indicators during the Covid-19 crisis : a tale of two cities

Pfeifer, Norbert; Steurer, Miriam - 2020

In this paper we use two years worth of daily housing platform data (October 2018 to September 2020) to construct early market indicators for London and Vienna. The timing of the dataset allows us to track the influence of the Covid-19 pandemic almost in real time. In particular, we construct...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012422496

A Global Vector Autoregression (GVAR) model for regional labour markets and its forecasting performance with leading indicators in Germany

Schanne, Norbert - 2015

information content of various leading indicators which describe the general economic situation, the tightness of labour markets … accuracy compared to a model without spatial linkages while using the same leading indicator. Amongst the tested leading … indicators, only few produce more accurate forecasts when included in a GVAR model, than the GVAR without indicator. …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011335481

The Swiss business cycle and the lead of small neighbor Liechtenstein

Brunhart, Andreas - 2015

This contribution investigates the business cycles of Switzerland compared to its five neighboring countries Germany, Austria, Italy, France and Liechtenstein. In contrast to the widespread notion of small countries “importing” the business cycle from bigger neighbors, it is shown that the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011447280

German Economy Summer 2015 - German economy: Expansion rate remains high

Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens; Fiedler, Salomon; Groll, Dominik; … - 2015

The German economy remains on a robust growth track. For the current year we expect GDP to increase by 1.8 percent. Next year, the rate of expansion is likely to accelerate to 2.1 percent. The private consumption boom continues, albeit not quite at the same rapid pace as in the past quarters, as...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012143279

Euro Area: Moderate Recovery proceeds

Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens; Fiedler, Salomon; Groll, Dominik; … - 2015

Economic activity in the Euro Area is gradually gaining grip in 2015. Sentiment indicators suggest that the current - rather moderate - recovery will prevail over the second half of the year. The upswing is expected to broaden and to be increasingly driven by domestic forces. It is supported by...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012143281

Robust German economy in an uncertain international environment

Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens; Fiedler, Salomon; Groll, Dominik; … - 2015

German GDP is expected to increase by 1.8 percent (2015), 2.1 percent (2016), and 2.3 percent (2017). Economic activity is driven by consumer spending that increases in the upcoming years by about 2 percent per year due to strong increases in real disposable income.

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012143282