The conventional wisdom in macroeconomic modeling is to attribute business cycle fluctuations to innovations in the level of the fundamentals. Though volatility shocks could be important too, their propagating mechanism is still not well understood partly because modeling the latent volatilities...

Powerful currents have reshaped the structure of families over the last century. There has been (i) a dramatic drop in fertility and greater parental investment in children; (ii) a rise in married female labor-force participation; (iii) a decline in marriage and a rise in divorce; (iv) a higher...

We present the first necessary and sufficient conditions for there to be a unique perfect-foresight solution to an otherwise linear dynamic model with occasionally binding constraints, given a fixed terminal condition. We derive further results on the existence of a solution in the presence of...

Chapter 1. Parametric Control of Macroeconomic Systems: Basic Components of Theory -- Chapter 2. Macroeconomic Analysis and Parametric Control Based on Global Multi-Country Dynamic Computable General Equilibrium Model (Model 1) -- Chapter 3. Macroeconomic Analysis and Parametric Control Based on...