Throughout history, governments and investors have relied on predictions of prices for a broad spectrum of commodities. Using time-series data covering 08/23/2013-04/15/2021, this study investigates the challenging problem of predicting scrap steel prices, which are issued daily for the...

We examine the role of metals as economic inputs by using a production network model, calibrated for various countries using input-output (I-O) tables. Empirically, we employ local projections to study how metal shocks influence inflation, testing country-level heterogeneity in the sensitivity...