Benth, Fred ESPEN; Benth, Jurate saltyte - In: Quantitative Finance 7 (2007) 5, pp. 553-561
We propose an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process with seasonal volatility to model the time dynamics of daily average temperatures. The model is fitted to approximately 45 years of daily observations recorded in Stockholm, one of the European cities for which there is a trade in weather futures and...