Kamal, Lillian - In: The International Journal of Business and Finance Research 8 (2014) 3, pp. 1-12
inflation tend to forecast inflation better than large statistical models. This paper re-visits the price gap model where the … price gap model is tested against atheoretic models based simply on past information, and a structural output gap model. The … overall results indicate that the price gap model does in fact display the lowest forecast error over the shorter term …