Weather data bases are important in optimizing a range of economic activities, such as maritime traffic. In this paper, a statistical analysis of data has been carried out, which includes the interpretation of the results with an emphasis on the analysis of consequences for local population. The...

Jaynes (1957a,b) formulates the maximum entropy (ME) principle as the search for a distribution maximizing a given entropy under some given constraints. Kapur (1984) and Kesavan & Kapur (1989) introduce the generalized maximum entropy principle as the derivation of an entropy for which a given...

Building on De Nicolò and Lucchetta (2010), this paper presents a novel modeling framework that delivers: (a) forecasts of indicators of systemic real risk and systemic financial risk based on density forecasts of indicators of real activity and financial health; (b) reduced-form stress tests...