Davig, Troy - In: Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics 11 (2007) 2, pp. 1373-1373
This paper develops a change-point model that can endogenously detect a structural shift in a time series of durations. The model is applied to NBER data on U.S. business cycle durations for expansions and contractions. There are two primary results. First, the change-point model endogenously...