paper compares various methods to predict the growth rate of US Industrial Production (IP) and of the Composite Coincident … Index (CCI) of the Conference Board, over the coming month, quarter, and half year. It turns out that future IP growth rates …

paper compares various methods to predict the growth rate of US Industrial Production (IP) and of the Composite Coincident … Index (CCI) of the Conference Board, over the coming month, quarter, and half year. It turns out that future IP growth rates …

Conference Board’s Composite Coincident Index (CCI) in real time, as a univariate AR model performs better. This result is mostly …