Prat, Georges; Uctum, Remzi - EconomiX, Université Paris Ouest-Nanterre la Défense … - 2014
Using Consensus Economics survey data on JPY/USD and GBP/USD exchange rate expectations for the 3- and 12-month horizons over the period November 1989 – December 2012 we first show that expectations fail to unbiasedness tests and do not exhibit a learning process towards rationality. Our...