Gupta, Rangan; Ye, Yuxiang; Sako, Christopher - Department of Economics, Faculty of Economic and … - 2011
In this paper, we consider the forecasting power, both in- and out-of-sample, of 11 financial variables with respect to …-sample of 1994:1-2005:3. The financial variables used are: M0, M1, M2, M3, lending rate, 3-month Treasury bill rate, term spread …-sample and out-of-sample predictive ability of the financial variables tend to coincide. We find strong evidence of out …