This paper develops a cumulative entropy method (CEM) to recognize the most suitable distribution for model error. In terms of the CEM, the Lévy stable distribution is employed to capture the statistical properties of model error. The strategies are tested on 250 experiments of axially loaded...

A new alternative diffusion model for asset price movements is presented. In contrast to the popular approach of Brownian motion it proposes deterministic diffusion for the modelling of stock price movements. These diffusion processes are a new area of physical research and can be created by the...

In this paper we perform a statistical analysis of the high-frequency returns of the Ibex35 Madrid stock exchange index. We find that its probability distribution seems to be stable over different time scales, a stylized fact observed in many different financial time series. However, an in-depth...

Random populations represented by stochastically scattered collections of real-valued points are abundant across many fields of science. Fractality, in the context of random populations, is conventionally associated with a Paretian distribution of the population's values.

We investigate two coupled properties of Lévy stable random motions: the first passage times (FPTs) and the first passage leapovers (FPLs). While, in general, the FPT problem has been studied quite extensively, the FPL problem has hardly attracted any attention. Considering a particle that...

Summary Stationary multiplier methods are procedures for rounding real probabilities into rational proportions, while the Sainte-Laguë divergence is a reasonable measure for the cumulative error resulting from this rounding step. Assuming the given probabilities to be uniformly distributed, we...

A theory which describes the share price evolution at financial markets as a continuous-time random walk (Physica A 287 (2000) 468, Physica A 314 (2002) 749, Eur. Phys. J. B 27 (2002) 273, Physica A 376 (2000) 284) has been generalized in order to take into account the dependence of waiting...

In the framework of the one-dimensional fractal time random walk (FTRW) relaxation model, we rigorously show that the frequency domain response takes, in both nonbiased and biased walks, the only possible Cole-Cole form. The underlying reason for this is the specific form of the relaxation...

Thomas J. Sargent is the 2011 recipient of the Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences (along with Christopher Sims). Sargent has been instrumental in the development of rational expectations economics. The central idea behind this approach is that individuals should not make systematic mistakes. Yet...