Schwarzmüller, Tim - Institut für Weltwirtschaft (IfW) - 2015
area GDP growth. I explore to what extend model selection and model pooling techniques are able to outperform a simple …-samples. Moreover, model selection techniques turn out to produce quite poor forecasts in some sub-samples. On the contrary, model … pooling based on the Cross-Validation and the Mallows criterion provide a very stable and accurate forecast performance …