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The power of opinion : more evidence of a GIPS-markup in sovereign ratings during the euro crisis
Nauhaus, Steffen - 2015
This paper examines whether the Big Three credit rating agencies actually played as active a role in the Euro Crisis as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011317827
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Carry Funding and Safe Haven Currencies : A Threshold Regression Approach
Hossfeld, Oliver - 2015
the estimation results, two currencies, the Swiss franc and (to a lesser extent) the US dollar qualify as safe haven … currencies, and the euro serves as a hedge currency. Results for the yen support its role as a carry funding vehicle, but not … analysis of bilateral euro-based exchange rates, given the euro's prominent role during the euro area sovereign debt crisis …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013030487
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The Argentinean currency crisis : a Markov-switching model estimation
Alvarez Plata, Patricia; Schrooten, Mechthild - 2003
Despite the fact that Argentina has been suffering from a recession for years, the timing and severity of the recent currency crisis surprised most observers. This paper analyzes the role of fundamentals and self-fulfilling speculation in the Argentinean crisis. Arguing within a theoretical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011438487
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Time-Varying Exchange Rate Basket in China from 2005 to 2009
Fidrmuc, Jarko - 2013
We use the Kalman filter to estimate the structure of the secret currency basket of the renminbi based on daily data between 2005 and 2009. The currency weights of selected currencies are modeled as stochastic processes (random walks). The official announcement of the new exchange rate regime in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013094429
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The state dependent impact of bank exposure on sovereign risk
Podstawski, Maximilian; Velinov, Anton - 2016 - This version: February 11, 2016
The theoretical literature remains inconclusive on whether changes in bank exposure towards the domestic sovereign have an adverse effect on the sovereign risk position via a diabolic loop in the sovereign-bank nexus or reduce perceived default risk by acting as a disciplinary device for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011436025
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Credit rating agency announcements and the eurozone sovereign debt crisis
Baum, Christopher F.; Karpava, Margarita; Schäfer, Dorothea - 2013
This paper studies the impact of credit rating agency (CRA) announcements on the value of the Euro and the yields of …-2012. The employed GARCH models show that CRA downgrade announcements negatively affected the value of the Euro currency and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010206145
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How stable are monetary models of the Dollar-Euro exchange rate? : a time-varying coefficient approach
Beckmann, Joscha; Belke, Ansgar; Kühl, Michael - 2009
exchange rate to one of the politically most important exchange rates, the exchange rate of the US dollar vis-à-vis the euro … (the DM). We use monthly data from 1975:01 to 2007:12. Applying a novel time-varying coefficient estimation approach, we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003898577
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The global crisis and equity market contagion
Bekaert, Geert; Ehrmann, Michael; Fratzscher, Marcel; … - 2014
We analyze the transmission of the financial crisis of 2007 to 2009 to 415 country-industry equity portfolios. We use a factor model to predict crisis returns, defining unexplained increases in factor loadings and residual correlations as indicative of contagion. While we find evidence of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010229208
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Fixed Exchange-Rate Policy and Real Wage Growth : Quasi-Experimental Evidence
Andini, Corrado - 2014
Using Difference-in-Differences estimation and data from the European Community Household Panel, this paper suggests …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013039598
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Pegxit Pressure : Evidence from the Classical Gold Standard
Mitchener, Kris James - 2017
We develop a simple model that highlights the costs and benefits of fixed exchange rates as they relate to trade, and show that negative export-price shocks reduce fiscal revenue and increase the likelihood of an expected currency devaluation. Using a new high-frequency data set on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012965714