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How stable are monetary models of the Dollar-Euro exchange rate? : a time-varying coefficient approach
Beckmann, Joscha; Belke, Ansgar; Kühl, Michael - 2009
exchange rate to one of the politically most important exchange rates, the exchange rate of the US dollar vis-à-vis the euro … (the DM). We use monthly data from 1975:01 to 2007:12. Applying a novel time-varying coefficient estimation approach, we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003898577
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When does it hurt? : the exchange rate "pain threshold" for German exports
Belke, Ansgar; Goecke, Matthias; Günther, Martin - 2009
euro. At the end of our estimation period, the previous exchange rate movements had shifted the upper bound of the play … area to about 1.55 US dollar per euro. In our interpretation, this is the current "pain threshold", where a strong spurt … reaction of exports to a further appreciation of the euro is expected to start. -- Exchange rate movements ; play hysteresis …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003891080
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Leading indicators of German business cycles : an assessment of properties
Fritsche, Ulrich; Stephan, Sabine - 2000
A reliable leading indicator should possess the following properties: (1) The movements in the indicator series should resemble those in the business cycle reference series. (2) The relation between the reference series and the indicator should be statistically significant and stable over time....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011432915
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From financial to real economic crisis : evidence from individual firm-bank relationships in Germany
Dwenger, Nadja; Fossen, Frank M.; Simmler, Martin - 2015 - This version: September 25, 2015
What began as a financial crisis in the United States in 2007–2008 quickly evolved into a massive crisis of the global real economy. We investigate the importance of the bank lending and firm borrowing channel in the international transmission of bank distress to the real economy—in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011339776
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Die Auswirkungen der Geldmenge und des Kreditvolumens auf die Immobilienpreise : ein ARDL-Ansatz für Deutschland
Belke, Ansgar - 2009
alternativen Kointegrationstestverfahrens die Ergebnisse nicht. -- Finanzkrise ; Geldmenge ; Immobilienpreise ; Liquidität …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003904552
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Time-Varying Individual Risk Attitudes Over the Great Recession : A Comparison of Germany and Ukraine
Dohmen, Thomas J. - 2015
We use the panel data of the German Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP) and of the Ukrainian Longitudinal Monitoring Survey (ULMS) to investigate whether risk attitudes have primary (exogenous) determinants that are valid in different stages of economic development and in a different structural context,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013015022
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Foreign debt, capital controls, and secondary markets : theory and evidence from Nazi Germany
Papadia, Andrea; Schioppa, Claudio A. - 2022
We investigate how internal distribution motives can interfere with the economic objectives of capital controls. In order to do this, we provide a model showing that elite capture can affect optimal debt repatriations and the management of official reserves under capital controls. Relying on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012801882
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Testing for convergence in stock markets : a non-linear factor approach
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Erdogan, Burcu; Kuzin, Vladimir - 2009
subgroups including Euro area countries, the UK and the US respectively, provides evidence of a global convergence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003889148
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Bad bank(s) and recapitalization of the banking sector
Schäfer, Dorothea; Zimmermann, Klaus F. - 2009
With banking sectors worldwide still suffering from the effects of the financial crisis, public discussion of plans to place toxic assets in one or more bad banks has gained steam in recent weeks. The following paper presents a plan how governments can efficiently relieve ailing banks from toxic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003844360
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The German Labor Market During the Great Recession : Shocks and Institutions
Gehrke, Britta - 2018
This paper analyzes Germany's unusual labor market experience during the Great Recession. We estimate a general equilibrium model with a detailed labor market block for post-unification Germany. This allows us to disentangle the role of institutions (short-time work, government spending rules)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012909849