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Predictive ability of business cycle indicators under test : a case study for the Euro Area industrial production
Carstensen, Kai; Wohlrabe, Klaus; Ziegler, Christina … - 2010
In this paper we assess the information content of seven widely cited early indicators for the euro area with respect … indicator, the OECD composite leading indicator, and the FAZ-Euro indicator published by the Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung. If …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003952110
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Predictive ability of business cycle indicators under test : a case study for the euro area industrial production
Carstensen, Kai; Wohlrabe, Klaus; Ziegler, Christina … - 2010
In this paper we assess the information content of seven widely cited early indicators for the euro area with respect … forecasts the OECD composite leading indicator performs very good by all criteria, and for 12-month forecasts the FAZ-Euro … loss ; leading indicators ; euro area ; forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008653414
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Predictive ability of business cycle indicators under test : a case study for the Euro area industrial production
Carstensen, Kai; Wohlrabe, Klaus; Ziegler, Christina … - 2010 - This version: June 2010, preliminary
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008933818
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Predictive Ability of Business Cycle Indicators Under Test : A Case Study for the Euro Area Industrial Production
Carstensen, Kai; Wohlrabe, Klaus; Ziegler, Christina - 2021
In this paper we assess the information content of seven widely cited early indicators for the euro area with respect … forecasts the OECD composite leading indicator performs very good by all criteria, and for 12-month forecasts the FAZ-Euro …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316171
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Price dispersion in the Euro Area : the case of a symmetric oil price shock
Carstensen, Kai; Hülsewig, Oliver; Wollmershäuser, Timo - 2009
This paper studies the causes of price dispersion in the euro area emerging in response to a shock that hits all member … attributed to different degrees of price and wage rigidities in the member countries. -- pass-through ; oil price shock ; euro …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003871916
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Is core money growth a good and stable inflation predictor in the euro area?
Carstensen, Kai (contributor) - 2007
In this paper, it is analyzed whether core money growth helps to predict future inflation in a useful and reliable way. Using an out-of-sample forecasting exercise and a stability analysis, it is shown that core money growth carries important information not contained in the inflation history,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003429547
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Money demand stability and inflation prediction in the four largest EMU countries
Carstensen, Kai; Hagen, Jan U.; Hossfeld, Oliver; … - 2008
In this paper we analyze the money demand functions of the four largest EMU countries and of the four-country (EMU-4) aggregate. We identify reasonable and stable money demand relationships for Germany, France and Spain as well as the EMU-4 aggregate. For the case of Italy, results are less...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008858923
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Did the revision of the ECB monetary policy strategy affect the reaction function?
Carstensen, Kai (contributor);  … - 2004 - [Elektronische Ressource]
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002206062
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Euroland: upswing postponed
Carstensen, Kai; Gern, Klaus-Jürgen; Kamps, Christophe; … - 2002
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001702606
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Is European money demand still stable?
Carstensen, Kai - 2003
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001789117