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The potential mutation of the Sub-Prime banking crisis into a sovereign debt one in Euro area countries is investigated … the end 2009 the probability of observing a Euro area country defaulting is less likely than six month before … self-fulfilling, sovereign debt or currency crises in Euro area in the future. -- king crisis ; sovereign debt crisis …
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This paper examines whether the Big Three credit rating agencies actually played as active a role in the Euro Crisis as …
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Macroeconomic adjustment in the euro area periphery was more recessionary than pre-crisis imbalances would have …
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dynamics of output, sovereign debt and financial stress in some euro area and other industrialized countries. …
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During the last crisis, developed economies' sovereign Credit Default Swap (hereafter CDS) premia have gained in importance as a tool for approximating credit risk. In this paper, we fit a dynamic factor model to decompose the sovereign CDS spreads of ten OECD economies into three components: a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013074345
We use a network model of credit risk to measure market expectations of the potential spillovers from a sovereign default. Specifically, we develop an empirical model, based on the recent theoretical literature on contagion in financial networks, and estimate it with data on sovereign credit...
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