Similar Search Results

To Purgatory and Beyond: When and How Should the Accession Countries from Central and Eastern Europe Become Full Members of EMU?

Buiter, Willem H. - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2004

membership. It should also be sufficient. 3) Convergence, prior to the adoption of the euro, of an EMU candidate’s inflation rate … to its euro area equilibrium inflation rate is helpful but not essential. 4) Real convergence is irrelevant for EMU … fiscal sustainability (and preferably also inflation convergence), the EMU candidate should be given a firm date and …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005666853

The Sustainability of Fiscal Policy in Italy: A Long-Term Perspective

Bartoletto, Silvana; Chiarini, Bruno; Marzano, Elisabetta - CESifo - 2012

The recent fears of a sovereign debt crisis have spurred interest in the sustainability of public debt. There are two different approaches to the assessment of sustainability: the use of sustainability gap indicators (Blanchard et al., 1990) and the time series approach (Trehan and Walsh, 1988)....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010548150

Patching up the Pact: some Suggestions for Enhancing Fiscal Sustainability and Macroeconomic Stability in an Enlarged European Union

Buiter, Willem H.; Grafe, Clemens - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2002

The paper considers the implications for the EU accession candidates of Central and Eastern Europe of the fiscal-financial constraints imposed by the Stability and Growth Pact and the Maastricht Treaty. Our findings apply also to those current EU members whose initial conditions (e.g....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005792378

Testing fiscal sustainability in Poland : a Bayesian analysis of cointegration

Andrea, SILVESTRINI - Institut de Recherche Économique et Sociale (IRES), … - 2007

Fiscal sustainability is a central topic for most of the transition economics of Eastern Europe. This paper focuses on a particular country : Poland. The main purpose is to investigate, empirically, whether the post-transition fiscal policy is consistent with the intertemporal budget constraint,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004984862

Measuring Fiscal Sustainability

Polito, Vito; Wickens, Michael R. - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2005

We propose an index of the fiscal stance that is convenient for practical use. It is based on a finite time horizon, not on an infinite time horizon like most tests. As it employs VAR analysis it is simple to compute and easily automated. We also show how it is possible to analyse a change of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123666

Inflation Implications of Rising Government Debt

Giannitsarou, Chryssi; Scott, Andrew - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2006

The intertemporal budget constraint of the government implies a relationship between a ratio of current liabilities to the primary deficit with future values of inflation, interest rates, GDP and narrow money growth and changes in the primary deficit. This relationship defines a natural measure...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005497882

The Scandinavian Model – Prospects and Challenges

Andersen, Torben - CESifo - 2007

Scandinavian countries are often portrayed in policy debates as model examples having shown how to square concerns for efficiency and equity. The core principle of the Scandinavian welfare model is an individual entitlement to public sector provisions combined with collective financing via...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005405706

3-Step Analysis of Public Finances Sustainability: the Case of the European Union

Afonso, António; Rault, Christophe - CESifo - 2008

We use a 3-step analysis to assess the sustainability of public finances in the EU27. Firstly, we perform the SURADF specific panel unit root test to investigate the mean-reverting behaviour of general government expenditures and revenues ratios. Secondly, we apply the bootstrap panel...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005406275

What do we really Know about Fiscal Sustainability in the EU? A Panel Data Diagnostic

Afonso, António; Rault, Christophe - CESifo - 2008

We assess the sustainability of public finances in the EU15 using stationarity and cointegration analysis. Specifically, we use panel unit root tests of the first and second generation allowing in some cases for structural breaks. We also apply modern panel cointegration techniques developed by...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005416479

The Impact of Debt Levels and Debt Maturity on Inflation

Faraglia, Elisa; Marcet, Albert; Oikonomou, Rigas; … - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2012

In the context of a sticky price DSGE model subject to government expenditure and preference shocks where governments issue only nominal non-contingent bonds we examine the implications for optimal inflation of changes in the level and average maturity of government debt. We analyse these...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083281