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Bringing French Public Debt Down: The Options for Fiscal Consolidation

Égert, Balázs - Economics Department, Organisation de Coopération et … - 2011

France has a track record of persistent general government deficits, partly reflecting pro-cyclical fiscal policies in upswings. This has resulted in a quadrupling of its public debt-to-GDP ratio since the 1970s to above 80% of GDP. Reducing public debt is crucial because a high level of public...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009003060

Monetary Transmission Mechanism in Central and Eastern Europe: Surveying the Surveyable

Égert, Balázs; MacDonald, Ronald - Economics Department, Organisation de Coopération et … - 2008

This paper surveys recent advances in empirical studies of the monetary transmission mechanism (MTM), with special attention to Central and Eastern Europe (CEE). Our results indicate that the strength of the exchange rate pass-through substantially declined over time mainly due to a fall in...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005045716

Infrastructure and Growth: Empirical Evidence

Égert, Balázs; Koźluk, Tomasz; Sutherland, Douglas - Economics Department, Organisation de Coopération et … - 2009

Investment in network infrastructure can boost long-term economic growth in OECD countries. Moreover, infrastructure investment can have a positive effect on growth that goes beyond the effect of the capital stock because of economies of scale, the existence of network externalities and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005046058

The Impact of Monetary and Commodity Fundamentals, Macro News and Central Bank Communication on the Exchange Rate: Evidence from South Africa

Égert, Balázs - Economics Department, Organisation de Coopération et … - 2009

This paper studies drivers of high-frequency (daily) dynamics of the South African rand vis-à-vis the dollar from January 2001 to July 2007. We find strong nonlinear effects of commodity prices, perceived country and emerging market risk premium and changes in the dollar-euro exchange rate on...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005046067

Effects of Fiscal Shocks in a Globalized World

Auerbach, Alan; Gorodnichenko, Yuriy - National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) - 2015

While theoretical models consistently predict that government spending shocks should lead to appreciation of the domestic currency, empirical studies have been stubbornly finding depreciation. Using daily data on U.S. defense spending (announced and actual payments), we document that the dollar...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011262911

The Bush Tax Cut and National Saving

Auerbach, Alan - National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) - 2002

Following through on pledges made during his election campaign, President Bush proposed and Congress passed a substantial tax cut in 2001, the Economic Growth and Tax Relief Reconciliation Act (EGTRRA). Much has been written about the size of the tax cut, its impact on the federal budget, its...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005248766

Is There a Role for Discretionary Fiscal Policy?

Auerbach, Alan - National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) - 2002

This paper reviews the state of discretionary fiscal policy. Among its findings are: (1) In recent years, U.S. discretionary fiscal policy appears to have become more active in response to both cyclical conditions and a simple measure of budget balance. (2) Considerable uncertainty remains about...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005085146

Optimal Long-Run Fiscal Policy: Constraints, Preferences and the Resolution of Uncertainty

Auerbach, Alan; hassett, kevin allen - National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) - 2002

We construct a computational dynamic stochastic overlapping generations general equilibrium model with uncertain lifetimes and explore the impact of policy stickiness (specifically, a major reform will preclude future reforms for a generation) on optimal long-run fiscal policy. Under such...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005085231

Fiscal Multipliers in Recession and Expansion

Auerbach, Alan; Gorodnichenko, Yuriy - National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) - 2011

In this paper, we estimate government purchase multipliers for a large number of OECD countries, allowing these multipliers to vary smoothly according to the state of the economy and using real-time forecast data to purge policy innovations of their predictable components. We adapt our previous...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009323437

Catching-up and Inflation in Europe: Balassa-Samuelson, Engel's Law and Other Culprits

Égert, Balázs - Economics Department, Organisation de Coopération et … - 2010

periods of very fast growth. We interpret these results as a sign that price level convergence comes from goods, market and … être vérifiée durant des périodes de forte croissance économique. Ces résultats suggèrent que la convergence des niveaux de … prix provient de la convergence des niveaux de prix des biens échangeables, des biens non-échangeables marchands et non …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008461038