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Bringing French Public Debt Down: The Options for Fiscal Consolidation

Égert, Balázs - Economics Department, Organisation de Coopération et … - 2011

France has a track record of persistent general government deficits, partly reflecting pro-cyclical fiscal policies in upswings. This has resulted in a quadrupling of its public debt-to-GDP ratio since the 1970s to above 80% of GDP. Reducing public debt is crucial because a high level of public...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009003060

Monetary Transmission Mechanism in Central and Eastern Europe: Surveying the Surveyable

Égert, Balázs; MacDonald, Ronald - Economics Department, Organisation de Coopération et … - 2008

This paper surveys recent advances in empirical studies of the monetary transmission mechanism (MTM), with special attention to Central and Eastern Europe (CEE). Our results indicate that the strength of the exchange rate pass-through substantially declined over time mainly due to a fall in...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005045716

Infrastructure and Growth: Empirical Evidence

Égert, Balázs; Koźluk, Tomasz; Sutherland, Douglas - Economics Department, Organisation de Coopération et … - 2009

Investment in network infrastructure can boost long-term economic growth in OECD countries. Moreover, infrastructure investment can have a positive effect on growth that goes beyond the effect of the capital stock because of economies of scale, the existence of network externalities and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005046058

The Impact of Monetary and Commodity Fundamentals, Macro News and Central Bank Communication on the Exchange Rate: Evidence from South Africa

Égert, Balázs - Economics Department, Organisation de Coopération et … - 2009

This paper studies drivers of high-frequency (daily) dynamics of the South African rand vis-à-vis the dollar from January 2001 to July 2007. We find strong nonlinear effects of commodity prices, perceived country and emerging market risk premium and changes in the dollar-euro exchange rate on...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005046067

Fiscal Policy Reaction to the Cycle in the OECD: Pro- or Counter-cyclical?

Égert, Balázs - Economics Department, Organisation de Coopération et … - 2010

This paper analyses the reaction of fiscal policy to the cycle in OECD countries. The results suggest that while overall government balances were counter-cyclical in the past and more so in economic downturns than in upswings, discretionary fiscal policy was neutral on average. However,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008542496

How do Institutions Affect Structural Unemployment in Times of Crises?

Furceri, Davide; Mourougane, Annabelle - Economics Department, Organisation de Coopération et … - 2009

This paper examines the effect of economic crises on structural unemployment using an Autoregressive Distributed Lags model and accounting for the role of institutional settings. Analysing an unbalanced panel of 30 OECD economies from 1970 to 2008, we found that downturns have, on average, a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008498031

Fiscal Policy Responsiveness, Persistence, and Discretion

Afonso, António; Agnello, Luca; Furceri, Davide - Economics Department, Organisation de Coopération et … - 2008

In this working paper, we decompose fiscal policy in three components: i) responsiveness, ii) persistence and iii) discretion. Using a sample of 132 countries, our results point out that fiscal policy tends to be more persistent than responding to output variations. We also found that while the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005045613

Government Consumption Volatility and the Size of Nations

Furceri, Davide; Ribeiro, Marcos Poplawski - Economics Department, Organisation de Coopération et … - 2009

The aim of this paper is to analyze the relation between the volatility of government consumption and country size. Using a sample of 160 countries from 1960 to 2000 the main findings of our empirical analysis suggest that: 1) smaller countries have more volatile non-discretionary and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005046158

The Effects of Fiscal Policy on Output: A DSGE Analysis

Furceri, Davide; Mourougane, Annabelle - Economics Department, Organisation de Coopération et … - 2010

This paper examines the effects of fiscal policy on output in the euro area. For this purpose we develop a DSGE Fiscal Model with endogenous government bond yields to assess the impact of different fiscal policy shocks on output, its components and on government debt. The simulations suggest...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008458987

Catching-up and Inflation in Europe: Balassa-Samuelson, Engel's Law and Other Culprits

Égert, Balázs - Economics Department, Organisation de Coopération et … - 2010

periods of very fast growth. We interpret these results as a sign that price level convergence comes from goods, market and … être vérifiée durant des périodes de forte croissance économique. Ces résultats suggèrent que la convergence des niveaux de … prix provient de la convergence des niveaux de prix des biens échangeables, des biens non-échangeables marchands et non …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008461038