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Over the past two decades, technological progress in the United States has been biased towards skilled labor. What does this imply for business cycles? We construct a quarterly skill premium from the CPS and use it to identify skill-biased technology shocks in a VAR with long-run restrictions....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010886889
predictions of the model change very little, but the welfare costs of unemployment are much larger because unemployment risk is … distributed unequally across workers. As a result, optimal unemployment insurance may be higher and welfare is lower if hiring is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009421565
We document three changes in postwar US macroeconomic dynamics: (i) the procyclicality of labor productivity has vanished, (ii) the relative volatility of employment has risen, and (iii) the relative (and absolute) volatility of the real wage has risen. We propose an explanation for all three...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008511733
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005069368
Standard macroeconomic models underpredict the volatility of unemployment fluctuations. A common solution is to assume … jobs. This form of wage rigidity does not affect job creation and thus cannot explain the unemployment volatility puzzle …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005700599