stochastic volatility model of sectoral employment growth. Reallocative shocks have no effect on the natural rate of unemployment … the rise in trend unemployment in Germany in the 1980s or for a possible rise in trend unemployment in the United States …

measure construction and technology busts) have little effect on the natural rate of unemployment or on long run productivity … of unemployment and can count for a 0.5% rise in cyclical unemployment from 2007 through the end of 2009 and 0.3% through …

labor input, but it predicts a strong counterfactually negative long run relationship between inflation and unemployment … negative long run relationship between trend inflation and unemployment provides indirect evidence against the proposed …

the unemployment rate. I show that a simple frictionless business cycle model with heterogeneity and a simple form of on … employment growth. Worker flows are related to both employment growth and the unemployment rate, and quits and hires are …-the-job search, and quits beget hires to replace quitters. High unemployment crowds out quits, shortens the hiring chain, reduces the …