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Forecasting Crashes : Trading Volume, Past Returns and Conditional Skewness in Stock Prices

Chen, Joseph - 2000

This paper is an investigation into the determinants of asymmetries in stock returns. We develop a series of cross-sectional regression specifications which attempt to forecast skewness in the daily returns of individual stocks. Negative skewness is most pronounced in stocks that have...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471074

Investor Sentiment and Corporate Finance : Micro and Macro

Lamont, Owen A. - 2005

We document that net equity issuance is considerably more sensitive to aggregate stock returns and Q's than to firm-level stock returns and Q's. Very similar patterns also emerge when we look at merger activity. In light of earlier work (Campbell 1991, Vuolteenaho 2002) which finds that...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466789

Breadth of Ownership and Stock Returns

Chen, Joseph - 2001

We develop a model of stock prices in which there are both differences of opinion among investors as well as short-sales constraints. The key insight that emerges is that breadth of ownership is a valuation indicator. When breadth is low i.e., when few investors have long positions in the stock...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470575

Bad News Travels Slowly : Size, Analyst Coverage and the Profitability of Momentum Strategies

Hong, Harrison - 1998

A number of theories have been proposed to explain the medium-term momentum in stock returns identified by Jegadeesh and Titman (1993). We test one such theory--based on the gradual-information-diffusion model of Hong and Stein (1997)--and establish three key results. First, once one moves past...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472255

Good News for Value Stocks : Further Evidence on Market Efficiency

Porta, Rafael La - 1995

This paper examines the hypothesis that the superior return to so-called value stocks is the result of expectational errors made by investors. We study stock price reactions around earnings announcements for value and glamour stocks over a 5 year period after portfolio formation. The...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473559

Do Institutional Investors Destabilize Stock Prices? Evidence on Herding and Feedback Trading

Lakonishok, Josef - 1991

evaluate the potential effect of their trading on stock prices. We address two aspects of trading by money managers: herding …, which refers to buying (selling) the same stocks as other managers buy (sell) at the same time; and positive … of substantial herding or positive-feedback trading by pension fund managers, except in small stocks. Also, there is no …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475147

Diagnostic Expectations and Stock Returns

Bordalo, Pedro - 2017

We revisit La Porta's (1996) finding that returns on stocks with the most optimistic analyst long term earnings growth forecasts are substantially lower than those for stocks with the most pessimistic forecasts. We document that this finding still holds, and present several further facts about...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453848

Finance and the Preservation of Wealth

Gennaioli, Nicola - 2013

We introduce the model of asset management developed in Gennaioli, Shleifer, and Vishny (2012) into a Solow-style neoclassical growth model with diminishing returns to capital. Savers rely on trusted intermediaries to manage their wealth (claims on capital stock), who can charge fees above costs...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459544

Salience and Asset Prices

Bordalo, Pedro - 2013

We present a simple model of asset pricing in which payoff salience drives investors' demand for risky assets. The key implication is that extreme payoffs receive disproportionate weight in the market valuation of assets. The model accounts for several puzzles in finance in an intuitive way,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459953

Expectations of Returns and Expected Returns

Greenwood, Robin - 2013

We analyze time-series of investor expectations of future stock market returns from six data sources between 1963 and 2011. The six measures of expectations are highly positively correlated with each other, as well as with past stock returns and with the level of the stock market. However,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459979