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Expectations of Equity Risk Premia, Volatility and Asymmetry from a Corporate Finance Perspective

Graham, John R. - 2001

We present new evidence on the distribution of the ex ante risk premium based on a multi-year survey of Chief Financial Officers (CFOs) of U.S. corporations. Currently, we have responses from surveys conducted from the second quarter of 2000 through the third quarter of 2001. The results in this...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470037

Market Timing Ability and Volatility Implied in Investment Newletters' Asset Allocation Recommendations

Graham, John R. - 1994

We analyze the advice contained in a sample of 237 investment letters over the 1980-1992 period. Each newsletter recommends a mix of equity and cash. We construct portfolios based on these recommendations and find that only a small number of the newsletters appear to have higher average returns...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474017

The Taxation of Executive Compensation

Hall, Brian J. - 2000

Over the past 20 years, there has been a dramatic increase in the share of executive compensation paid through stock options. In this paper, we examine the extent to which tax policy has influenced the composition of executive compensation, and discuss the implications of rising stock-based pay...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471173

Optimal Exercise Prices for Executive Stock Options

Hall, Brian J. - 2000

Although exercise prices for executive stock options can be set either below or above the grant-date market price, in practice virtually all options are granted at the money. We offer an economic rationale for this apparent puzzle, by showing that pay-to-performance incentives for risk-averse...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471227

CEO-Board Dynamics

Graham, John R. - 2019

We examine CEO-board dynamics using a new panel dataset that spans 1920 to 2011. The long sample allows us to perform within-firm and within-CEO tests over a long horizon, many for the first time in the governance literature. Consistent with theories of bargaining or dynamic contracting, we find...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479953

Managerial Miscalibration

Ben-David, Itzhak - 2010

Using a unique 10-year panel that includes more than 13,300 expected stock market return probability distributions, we find that executives are severely miscalibrated, producing distributions that are too narrow: realized market returns are within the executives' 80% confidence intervals only...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462440

A Corporate Beauty Contest

Graham, John R. - 2010

We conduct beauty contest experiments, using close to 2,000 subjects to study the facial traits of CEOs. In one experiment we use pairs of photographs and find that subjects rate CEO faces as appearing more "competent" and less "likable" than non-CEO faces. Another experiment matches CEOs from...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462745

Managerial Overconfidence and Corporate Policies

Ben-David, Itzhak - 2007

Miscalibration is a standard measure of overconfidence in both psychology and economics. Although it is often used in lab experiments, there is scarcity of evidence about its effects in practice. We test whether top corporate executives are miscalibrated, and whether their miscalibration impacts...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464935

The Trouble with Stock Options

Hall, Brian J. - 2003

that we believe explains the over-use of options and several apparent puzzles: boards and managers falsely perceive stock …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468914

Payout Policy in the 21st Century

Brav, Alon - 2003

factors that drive dividend and share repurchase policies. We find that managers are very reluctant to cut dividends, that … repurchases is viewed by managers as being more flexible than using dividends, permitting a better opportunity to optimize … investment. Managers like to repurchase shares when they feel their stock is undervalued and in an effort to affect EPS. Dividend …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469041