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Expectations of Equity Risk Premia, Volatility and Asymmetry from a Corporate Finance Perspective

Graham, John R. - 2001

We present new evidence on the distribution of the ex ante risk premium based on a multi-year survey of Chief Financial Officers (CFOs) of U.S. corporations. Currently, we have responses from surveys conducted from the second quarter of 2000 through the third quarter of 2001. The results in this...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470037

Market Timing Ability and Volatility Implied in Investment Newletters' Asset Allocation Recommendations

Graham, John R. - 1994

We analyze the advice contained in a sample of 237 investment letters over the 1980-1992 period. Each newsletter recommends a mix of equity and cash. We construct portfolios based on these recommendations and find that only a small number of the newsletters appear to have higher average returns...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474017

CEO-Board Dynamics

Graham, John R. - 2019

We examine CEO-board dynamics using a new panel dataset that spans 1920 to 2011. The long sample allows us to perform within-firm and within-CEO tests over a long horizon, many for the first time in the governance literature. Consistent with theories of bargaining or dynamic contracting, we find...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479953

Managerial Miscalibration

Ben-David, Itzhak - 2010

Using a unique 10-year panel that includes more than 13,300 expected stock market return probability distributions, we find that executives are severely miscalibrated, producing distributions that are too narrow: realized market returns are within the executives' 80% confidence intervals only...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462440

A Corporate Beauty Contest

Graham, John R. - 2010

We conduct beauty contest experiments, using close to 2,000 subjects to study the facial traits of CEOs. In one experiment we use pairs of photographs and find that subjects rate CEO faces as appearing more "competent" and less "likable" than non-CEO faces. Another experiment matches CEOs from...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462745

Managerial Overconfidence and Corporate Policies

Ben-David, Itzhak - 2007

Miscalibration is a standard measure of overconfidence in both psychology and economics. Although it is often used in lab experiments, there is scarcity of evidence about its effects in practice. We test whether top corporate executives are miscalibrated, and whether their miscalibration impacts...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464935

Payout Policy in the 21st Century

Brav, Alon - 2003

factors that drive dividend and share repurchase policies. We find that managers are very reluctant to cut dividends, that … repurchases is viewed by managers as being more flexible than using dividends, permitting a better opportunity to optimize … investment. Managers like to repurchase shares when they feel their stock is undervalued and in an effort to affect EPS. Dividend …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469041

Capital Allocation and Delegation of Decision-Making Authority within Firms

Graham, John R. - 2011

We survey more than 1,000 CEOs and CFOs to understand how capital is allocated, and decision-making authority is delegated, within firms. We find that CEOs are least likely to share or delegate decision-making authority in mergers and acquisitions, relative to delegation of capital structure,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461288

Managerial Attributes and Executive Compensation

Graham, John R. - 2011

We study the role of firm- and manager-specific heterogeneities in executive compensation. We decompose the variation in executive compensation and find that time invariant firm and especially manager fixed effects explain a majority of the variation in executive pay. We then show that in many...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461290