Brill, Maximilian; Nautz, Dieter; Sieckmann, Lea - 2019 - This version: June 25, 2019
We introduce a Divisia monetary aggregate for the euro area that accounts for the heterogeneity across member countries … both, in terms of interest rates and the decomposition of monetary assets. In most of the euro area countries, the … the simple sum aggregate has a significant predictive content for recessions in euro area countries. …