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We use the Kalman filter to estimate the structure of the secret currency basket of the renminbi based on daily data between 2005 and 2009. The currency weights of selected currencies are modeled as stochastic processes (random walks). The official announcement of the new exchange rate regime in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010270870
Interest-rate spreads fluctuate widely across time and countries. We characterize their behavior using some 3,200 quarterly observations for 21 advanced and 17 emerging economies since the early 1990s. Before the financial crisis, spreads are 10 times more volatile in emerging economies than in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012179882
In the current debate on the reasons and implications of the Greek and Irish euro crisis, the intra-European current … imbalances since the euro introduction and thereby the current European debt crisis. Based on this finding we argue that an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010275023
Currency crises, generally defined as rapid depreciation of a local currency or loss of foreign exchange reserves, are common incidents in modern monetary systems. Due to their repeated occurrence and severity, they have earned wide coverage by both theoretical and empirical literature. However,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011259158
The welfare state was created after 1950 with counterproductive mechanisms and this caused high inflation and high unemployment and stagnating growth by 1970, called stagflation. Since 1970 governments redressed the welfare state but did not succeed in finding workable mechanisms. They rather...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011108214
Financial market interdependence has been at the epicenter of the crisis in the euro area. This paper tests for the … euro area shocks from country-specific shocks. Financial contagion has been widespread during the crisis in the euro area … between the core and the periphery of the euro area. Global and euro area shocks have been important drivers of sovereign bond …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011114307
The aim of this short paper is to discuss the future of the European Monetary Union (EMU) departing from the current financial crisis. In particular, we focus on its effects on the prospects for the EMU integration or disintegration.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011114561
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