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Optimal Policy Under Dollar Pricing
Egorov, Konstantin - 2020
Recent empirical evidence shows that most international prices are sticky in dollars. This paper studies the optimal policy implications of this fact in the context of an open economy model, allowing for an arbitrary structure of asset markets, general preferences and technologies, time-or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012834360
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Market Efficiency in the Age of Big Data
Martin, Ian - 2020
Modern investors face a high-dimensional prediction problem: thousands of observable variables are potentially relevant for forecasting. We reassess the conventional wisdom on market efficiency in light of this fact. In our model economy, which resembles a typical machine learning setting, N...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012844214
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Banking and debt crisis in Europe: The dangerous liaisons?
Candelon, Bertrand; Palm, Franz - 2010
The potential mutation of the Sub-Prime banking crisis into a sovereign debt one in Euro area countries is investigated … the end 2009 the probability of observing a Euro area country defaulting is less likely than six month before … self-fulfilling, sovereign debt or currency crises in Euro area in the future. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010270470
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The Euro Crisis and Economic Growth : A Novel Counterfactual Approach
Terzi, Alessio - 2019
Macroeconomic adjustment in the euro area periphery was more recessionary than pre-crisis imbalances would have …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012866042
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Distressed Acquisitions : Evidence from European Emerging Markets
Iwasaki, Ichiro; Kočenda, Evžen; Shida, Yoshisada - 2021
We analyze factors behind 23,213 distressed acquisitions in European emerging markets from 2007–2019. Besides the impact of financial ratios, legal form, ownership structure, firm size, and age, we emphasize the role of institutions and channels of their propagation. We show that the quality...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013231968
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Revisions of Potential Output Estimates in the EU after the Great Recession
Dovern, Jonas - 2019
Using European Commission real-time data, we show that potential output (PO) estimates were substantially and persistently revised downwards after the Great Recession. We decompose PO revisions into revisions of the capital stock, trend labor, and trend total-factor productivity (TFP)....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012866365
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The Euro/Dollar exchange rate: Chaotic or non-chaotic?
Federici, Daniela; Gandolfo, Giancarlo - 2011
econometrically estimated in continuous time with Euro/Dollar data and examined for the possible presence of chaotic motion. Our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274880
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Central Bank Policies and Financial Markets : Lessons from the Euro Crisis
Mody, Ashoka - 2019
bond markets and improved economic sentiment, as reflected in higher equity prices. In contrast, passive euro liquidity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892183
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Time-varying exchange rate basket in China from 2005 to 2009
Fidrmuc, Jarko - 2010
We use the Kalman filter to estimate the structure of the secret currency basket of the renminbi based on daily data between 2005 and 2009. The currency weights of selected currencies are modeled as stochastic processes (random walks). The official announcement of the new exchange rate regime in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010270870
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The Worst of Both Worlds : Fiscal Policy and Fixed Exchange Rates
Born, Benjamin - 2019
Under fixed exchange rates, fiscal policy is an effective tool. According to classical views because it impacts the real exchange rate, according to Keynesian views because it impacts output. Both views have merit because the effects of government spending are asymmetric. A spending cut lowers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012859987