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Modelling Persistence and Non-Linearities in the US Treasury 10-Year Bond Yields
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Gil-Alana, Luis A.; Yaya, … - 2022
This paper analyses persistence and non-linearities in quarterly and monthly US Treasury 10-year bond yields over the period 1962-2021 using two different fractional integration approaches including Chebyshev polynomials and Fourier functions respectively. The results for both quarterly and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013306037
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One Size Does Not Fit All : TFP in the Aftermath of Financial Crises in Three European Countries
Abele, Christian; Bénassy-Quéré, Agnès; Fontagné, … - 2021
We analyse the impact of both the Global Financial Crisis of 2008 and the European sovereign and banking crisis of 2011-13 on firm-level productivity in France, Italy and Spain. We show that relying on a single break date in 2008 misses both the Eurozone crisis and countries' institutional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013246463
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The Relationship between Prices and Output in the UK and the US
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Claudio-Quiroga, Gloria; … - 2021
This paper analyses the relationship between CPI and real GDP in both the US and the UK using fractional integration and long-range dependence techniques. All series appear to be highly trended and to exhibit high degrees of integration and persistence, especially in the case of CPI. Since the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013235154
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COVID-Induced School Closures in the US and Germany : Long-Term Distributional Effects
Fuchs-Schündeln, Nicola - 2022
Almost all countries worldwide closed schools at the outbreak of the Covid-19 crisis. I document that schooling time dropped on average by -55% in the US and -45% in Germany from the onset of the crisis to the summer of 2021. In the US, schools were closed longer in richer than in poorer areas,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013291960
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Exititis in the UK : Gravity Estimates in the Aftermath of Brexit
Brakman, Steven; Garretsen, Harry; Kohl, Tristan - 2021
The withdrawal of the United Kingdom from the European Union has had disruptive effects on international trade. As part of its ‘Global Britain’ strategy, in the wake of Brexit, the UK is pursuing a series of Free Trade Agreements with countries around the world, including Canada, Japan,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013212259
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A Public Good Version of the Collective Household Model : An Empirical Approach with an Application to British Household Data
Klaveren, Chris van; van Praag, B.M.S; Maassen van den … - 2021
In this paper we consider an empirical collective household model of time allocation for two-earner households. The novelty of this paper is that we estimate a version of the collective household model, where the internally produced goods and the externally purchased goods are assumed to be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316615
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Tax Credits, Income Support and Partnership Decisions
Anderberg, Dan - 2021
This paper considers the potential impact of welfare benefits on the partnership status of women in the UK. Using recent policy reforms to identify the response rate I find that a GBP100/week welfare benefit "partnership penalty" reduces the probability of a woman having a partner by seven...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316693
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Gold and Silver as Safe Havens : A Fractional Integration and Cointegration Analysis
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Gil-Alana, Luis A. - 2022
This paper investigates whether gold and silver can be considered safe havens by examining their long-run linkages with 22 stock price indices. More specifically, the stochastic properties of the differential between gold/silver prices and 22 stock indices are analysed applying fractional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014241989
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Vehicle Currency Pricing and Exchange Rate Pass-Through
Chen, Natalie - 2019
Using detailed firm-level transactions data for UK imports, we find that invoicing in a vehicle currency is pervasive, with more than half of transactions in our sample invoiced in neither sterling nor the exporter’s currency. We then study the relationship between invoicing currency...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012867016
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What if the UK had joined the euro in 1999? : An empirical evaluation using a Global VAR
Pesaran, Mohammad Hashem; Smith, L. Vanessa; Smith, Ron P. - 2005
macroeconometric models. As an application we consider UK entry to the euro. Entry involves a long-term commitment to restrict UK … nominal exchange rates and interest rates to be the same as those of the euro area. We derive conditional probability … distributions for the difference between the future realisations of variables of interest (e.g UK and euro area output and prices …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276168