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econometrically estimated in continuous time with Euro/Dollar data and examined for the possible presence of chaotic motion. Our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274880
In the current debate on the reasons and implications of the Greek and Irish euro crisis, the intra-European current … imbalances since the euro introduction and thereby the current European debt crisis. Based on this finding we argue that an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010275023
We investigate the effects of official fiscal data and creative accounting signals on interest rate spreads between bond yields in the European Union. Our model predicts that risk premia contained in government bond spreads should increase in both the official fiscal position and the expected...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010263922
Poland is obligated to adopt the euro after the fulfilment, inter alia, of the exchange rate criterion which requires … estimate real Polish zloty/euro equilibrium rate. Although the main goal of our analysis is to compute measures of current and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010264576
currencies and adopted a new common currency, the euro. Several recent papers argue that the introduction of the euro has led (by … put the trade effect of the euro in historical perspective. We argue that the creation of the EMU was a continuation (or … integration, the euro's impact on trade disappears. Moreover, a significant part of the trend in European trade integration is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010261162
This paper examines the spillover effects of sovereign rating news on European financial markets during the period 2007-2010. Our main finding is that sovereign rating downgrades have statistically and economically significant spillover effects both across countries and financial markets. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010275006
endeavored to qualify for euro-zone membership, which compelled strict limits on budgetary deficits. We then explore which …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276560
We estimate that the euro has increased trade within the eurozone by about 26 per cent and trade between the eurozone …, indicating significant and substantial effects on the extensive margin of trade. The euro effects were concentrated to semi …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010264046
The Greek bail-out was highly controversial. An oft-heard assessment is that i) the bail-out was a mistake, ii) the political haggling over it was irrational and iii) the bail-out will create a moral hazard problem. Contrary to this view, our analysis suggests that, given EMU's present...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274897
Overall, the ECB managed monetary policy quite satisfactory in the first phase of EMU. Nevertheless, this paper asks whether monetary policy could not have been improved. In the last three years, Euroland was confronted with the first external shock. Oil prices increased considerably, leading to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011435104