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There is already a substantial literature documenting the fact that low yield currencies typically appreciate during times of global financial stress and behave as safe havens. The main objective of this paper is to find out what the fundamentals of safe haven currencies are. We analyse a large...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008901495
Macroeconomic adjustment in the euro area periphery was more recessionary than pre-crisis imbalances would have …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012866042
This paper identifies the various channels that give rise to a "sovereign-bank nexus" whereby the financial health of banks and sovereigns is intertwined. We find that banks and sovereigns are linked by three interacting channels: banks hold large amounts of sovereign debt; banks are protected...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011901498
A striking and unexpected feature of the financial crisis has been the sharp appreciation of the US dollar against virtually all currencies globally. The paper finds that negative US-specific macroeconomic shocks during the crisis have triggered a significant strengthening of the US dollar,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003867020
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This paper uses data on bilateral foreign exposures of domestic banking systems in order to construct early warning models for financial crises that take into account cross-country spill-overs of vulnerabilities. The empirical results show that incorporating cross-country financial linkages can...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011864175
In this paper we propose a composite indicator that measures multidimensional sovereign bond market stress in the euro … area as a whole and in individual euro area member states. It integrates measures of credit risk, volatility and liquidity … eleven euro area member states and also present four options of a SovCISS for the entire monetary union. In addition, we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011921004
This paper investigates the link between sovereign ratings and macroeconomic fundamentals for a group of euro area … countries which recorded rating downgrades amid the euro area sovereign debt crisis. We apply an elaborated econometric … estimation technique, based on a Bayesian ordered probit model, to understand how the decisions of rating agencies can be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011637529