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Getting beyond carry trade : what makes a safe haven currency?
Habib, Maurizio Michael; Stracca, Livio - 2011
There is already a substantial literature documenting the fact that low yield currencies typically appreciate during times of global financial stress and behave as safe havens. The main objective of this paper is to find out what the fundamentals of safe haven currencies are. We analyse a large...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008901495
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Exchange rates and sovereign risk : a nonlinear approach based on local Gaussian correlations
Heinlein, Reinhold; Legrenzi, Gabriella; Mahadeo, Scott … - 2024
We empirically assess the interlinkages between sovereign risk, measured in terms of CDS spreads, and exchange rates for a sample of emerging markets. Our period of analysis includes periods of severe stress, such as the Global Financial Crisis, the COVID-19 pandemic and the Ukrainian War. Using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014505308
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Banking and debt crisis in Europe : the dangerous liaisons?
Candelon, Bertrand; Palm, Franz C. - 2010
The potential mutation of the Sub-Prime banking crisis into a sovereign debt one in Euro area countries is investigated … the end 2009 the probability of observing a Euro area country defaulting is less likely than six month before … self-fulfilling, sovereign debt or currency crises in Euro area in the future. -- king crisis ; sovereign debt crisis …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003951604
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Boom-bust cycles in middle income countries : facts and explanation
Tornell, Aaron; Westermann, Frank - 2002
In this paper we characterize empirically the comovements of macro variables typically observed in middle income countries, as well as the boom-bust cycle that has been observed during the last two decades. We find that many countries that have liberalized their financial markets, have witnessed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011410453
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The euro crisis and economic growth : a novel counterfactual approach
Terzi, Alessio - 2019 - This Draft: 25 June 2019
Macroeconomic adjustment in the euro area periphery was more recessionary than pre-crisis imbalances would have …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012033212
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Have financial markets become more informative?
Bai, Jennie; Philippon, Thomas; Savov, Alexi - 2012
The finance industry has grown. Financial markets have become more liquid. Information technology has improved. But have prices become more informative? Using stock and bond prices to forecast earnings, we find that the information content of market prices has not increased since 1960. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009657611
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Estimating the impacts of US LSAP's on emerging market economies' local currency bond markets
Moore, Jeffrey A.; Nam, Sunwoo; Suh, Myeongguk; Tepper, … - 2013
This paper examines whether large-scale asset purchases (LSAPs) by the Federal Reserve influenced capital flows out of the United States and into emerging market economies (EMEs) and also analyzes the degree of pass-through from long-term U.S. government bond yields to long-term EME bond yields....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009692612
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Optimal reserve composition in the presence of sudden stops : the euro and the dollar as safe haven currencies
Beck, Roland (contributor); Rahbari, Ebrahim (contributor) - 2008
traditional portfolio objectives as debt to reserve ratios decrease. We empirically estimate optimal dollar and euro shares for 24 … reserve ratios, introducing transactions demand has a relatively modest effect. We also find that euro and dollar bonds act as … in Asia and Latin America, while the euro is a better hedge for sudden stops in Emerging Europe. We reproduce …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003782664
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Different no more : country spreads in advanced and emerging economies
Born, Benjamin; Müller, Gernot J.; Pfeifer, Johannes; … - 2020
Interest-rate spreads fluctuate widely across time and countries. We characterize their behavior using some 3,200 quarterly observations for 21 advanced and 17 emerging economies since the early 1990s. Before the financial crisis, spreads are 10 times more volatile in emerging economies than in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012162762
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Testing CAPM with a large number of assets
Pesaran, M. Hashem; Yamagata, Takashi - 2012
This paper is concerned with testing the time series implications of the capital asset pricing model (CAPM) due to Sharpe (1964) and Lintner (1965), when the number of securities, N, is large relative to the time dimension, T, of the return series. In the case of cross-sectionally correlated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009535779