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Getting Beyond Carry Trade : What Makes a Safe Haven Currency?

Habib, Maurizio Michael - 2011

There is already a substantial literature documenting the fact that low yield currencies typically appreciate during times of global financial stress and behave as safe havens. The main objective of this paper is to find out what the fundamentals of safe haven currencies are. We analyse a large...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013131638

Boom-Bust Cycles in Middle Income Countries : Facts and Explanation

Tornell, Aaron - 2002

In this paper we characterize empirically the comovements of macro variables typically observed in middle income countries, as well as the boom-bust cycle' that has been observed during the last two decades. We find that many countries that have liberalized their financial markets, have...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469490

Have Financial Markets Become More Informative?

Bai, Jennie - 2013

The finance industry has grown, financial markets have become more liquid, information technology has undergone a revolution. But have market prices become more informative? We derive a welfare-based measure of price informativeness: the predicted variation of future cash flows from current...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458935

Debauchery and Original Sin : The Currency Composition of Sovereign Debt

Engel, Charles - 2018

This study quantitatively investigates the currency composition of sovereign debt in the presence of two types of limited enforcement frictions arising from a government's monetary and debt policy: strategic currency debasement and default on sovereign debt. Local currency debt obligations are...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453049

Optimal Reserve Composition in the Presence of Sudden Stops : The Euro and the Dollar as Safe Haven Currencies

Beck, Roland - 2008

traditional portfolio objectives as debt to reserve ratios decrease. We empirically estimate optimal dollar and euro shares for 24 … reserve ratios, introducing transactions demand has a elatively modest effect. We also find that euro and dollar bonds act as … sudden stops in Asia and Latin America, while the euro is a better hedge for sudden stops in Emerging Europe. We reproduce …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012771394

Contagion in the European Sovereign Debt Crisis

Glover, Brent - 2014

We use a network model of credit risk to measure market expectations of the potential spillovers from a sovereign default. Specifically, we develop an empirical model, based on the recent theoretical literature on contagion in financial networks, and estimate it with data on sovereign credit...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458098

Reverse Speculative Attacks

Amador, Manuel - 2016

Franc against the Euro, a decision which led to the appreciation of the Swiss Franc. The objective of this paper is to …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456377

Heterogeneous Expectations and Tests of Efficiency in the Yen/Dollar Forward Foreign Exchange Rate Market

Elliott, Graham - 1995

This paper examines the efficiency of the forward yen/dollar market using micro survey data. We first argue that the conventional tests of efficiency (unbiasedness) of the forward rate or of the survey forecasts do not correspond directly to the zero-profit condition. Instead, we use the survey...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473491

Testing CAPM with a large number of assets

Pesaran, M. Hashem; Yamagata, Takashi - 2012

This paper is concerned with testing the time series implications of the capital asset pricing model (CAPM) due to Sharpe (1964) and Lintner (1965), when the number of securities, N, is large relative to the time dimension, T, of the return series. In the case of cross-sectionally correlated...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009535779

Measuring Contagion Potential Among Sovereigns and Banks Using a Mixed-Cross-Section GVAR

Gross, Marco - 2013

This paper aims to illustrate how a Mixed-Cross-Section Global Vector Autoregressive (MCS-GVAR) model can be set up and solved for the purpose of forecasting and scenario simulation. The application involves two cross-sections: sovereigns and banks for which we model their credit default swap...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013078534

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