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We explore whether foreign aid affects developing countries' creditworthiness, as proxied by the Institutional Investor's measure of country credit risk. Based on a simple model of international borrowing and lending, we develop the hypothesis that current aid reduces the likelihood of future...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011430049
estimation is based on a commonly used economic approach, but with a wider and more up-to-date coverage of data and a more … misalignment exists in the trilateral rates between the RMB, US$ and euro. The finding refutes the claim that RMB appreciation is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010280745
This paper investigates the impact of international swap lines on stock returns using data from banks in emerging markets. The analysis shows that swap lines by the Swiss National Bank (SNB) had a positive impact on bank stocks in Central and Eastern Europe. It then highlights the importance of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011629985
EU countries, vis a vis the US dollar, before and after the advent of the euro. Standard as well as nonlinear unit root …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010273678
default. It is argued that the current crisis in Europe illustrates why the euro is not a real contender for hegemony in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010281749
We review and construct consistent in-sample specification and out-of-sample model selection tests on conditional distributions and predictive densities associated with continuous multifactor (possibly with jumps) and (non)linear discrete models of the short term interest rate. The results of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010282832
: the euro. This paper econometrically estimates determinants of the shares of major currencies in the reserve holdings of ….9). The advent of the euro interrupts the continuity of the historical data set. So we estimate parameters on pre-1999 data … dollar and euro over the period 1999-2004. Whether the euro might in the future rival or surpass the dollar as the world …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010285296
Traders' values and information typically consist of both private and common-value elements. In such environments, full allocative efficiency is impossible when the private rate of information substitution differs from the social rate (Jehiel and Moldovanu, 2001). We link this impossibility...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010316881
This paper shows that a large fraction of the variability of emerging market bond spreads is explained by the evolution of global factors such as risk appetite (as reflected in the spread of high yield corporate bonds in developed markets), global liquidity (measured by the international...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010327074
Financial market crises with the threat of a subsequent debt-deflation depression have occurred with increasing regularity in the United States from 1980 through the present. Almost reflexively, when confronted with such circumstances, US institutions and the policymakers that run them have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010318632