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This paper studies the relationship between financial structure and the welfare consequences of fixed exchange rate regimes in small open emerging economies with downward nominal wage rigidity. The paper presents two surprising results. First, a pegging economy might be better off with a closed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460437
We present theory and evidence that challenges the view that forward premia contain little information regarding subsequent spot rate movements. Using weekly dollar-mark and dollar sterling data, we find that spot and forward exchange rates together are well represented by a vector error...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474508
. In addition to standard Wald tests, we formulate Lagrange Multiplier and Distance Metric tests which require estimation … under the non-linear constraints of the null hypotheses. Estimation under the null is achieved by iterating on approximate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471161
The 1997-99 financial crises in the emerging markets have brought to the foreground the concern about offshore investment funds and their possible role in exacerbating volatility in the markets they invest in. Offshore investment funds are alleged to engage in trading behaviors that are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471661
This paper discusses three policy tools to mitigate jobless recoveries during financial crises: inflation, real currency depreciation, and credit-recovery policies. Using a sample of financial crises in Emerging Market economies, we document that large inflationary spikes appear to help...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458979
, euro area and UK data points to a substantial deviation from that invariance prediction: expectations of interest rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479321
The current study uses six annual waves of the Longitudinal Labor Market Study (LLMS) covering the 2008-2013 period to obtain longitudinal estimations suggesting statistically significant negative effects from unemployment on self-reported health and mental health in Greece. The specifications...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010462650
This paper investigates the potential reasons for the surprisingly different labor market performance of the United States, Canada, Germany, and several other OECD countries during and after the Great Recession of 2008-09. Unemployment rates did not change substantially in Germany, increased and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457972
This paper studies the connection between the stock market and the unemployment rate. I establish three facts. First, the log of the real value of the S&P 500 and the log of a logistic transformation of the unemployment rate are non-stationary cointegrated series. Second, the stock market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459270
We examine the implications for borrowing costs of including collective-action clauses in loan contracts. For a sample of some 2,000 international bonds, we compare the spreads on bonds subject to UK governing law, which typically include collective-action clauses, with spreads on bonds subject...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471318