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Identifying global and national output and fiscal policy shocks using a GVAR

Chudik, Alexander; Pesaran, M. Hashem; Mohaddes, Kamiar - 2019

The paper contributes to the growing global VAR (GVAR) literature by showing how global and national shocks can be identified within a GVAR framework. The usefulness of the proposed approach is illustrated in an application to the analysis of the interactions between public debt and real output...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011956353

Climate change and economic activity : evidence from U.S. states

Mohaddes, Kamiar; Ng, Ryan N. C.; Pesaran, M. Hashem; … - 2022

We investigate the long-term macroeconomic effects of climate change across 48 U.S. states over the period 1963.2016 using a novel econometric strategy which links deviations of temperature and precipitation (weather) from their long-term moving-average historical norms (climate) to various...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012806494

Long-term macroeconomic effects of climate change : a cross-country analysis

Kahn, Matthew E.; Mohaddes, Kamiar; Ng, Ryan N. C.; … - 2019

We study the long-term impact of climate change on economic activity across countries, using a stochastic growth model where labour productivity is affected by country-specific climate variables. defined as deviations of temperature and precipitation from their historical norms. Using a panel...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012031151

Macroeconomic factors and micro-level bank risk

Buch, Claudia M.; Eickmeier, Sandra; Prieto, Esteban - 2010

The interplay between banks and the macroeconomy is of key importance for financial and economic stability. We analyze this link using a factor-augmented vector autoregressive model (FAVAR) which extends a standard VAR for the U.S. macroeconomy. The model includes GDP growth, inflation, the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008697545

Counterfactual analysis in macroeconometrics : an empirical investigation into the effects of quantitative easing

Pesaran, M. Hashem; Smith, Ron - 2012

This paper is concerned with ex ante and ex post counterfactual analyses in the case of macroeconometric applications where a single unit is observed before and after a given policy intervention. It distinguishes between cases where the policy change affects the model's parameters and where it...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009571104

Tests of policy ineffectiveness in macroeconometrics

Pesaran, M. Hashem; Smith, Ron - 2014

This paper proposes tests of policy ineffectiveness in the context of macroeconometric rational expectations models. It is assumed that there is a policy intervention that takes the form of changes in the parameters of a policy rule, and that there are sufficient observations before and after...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010375404

The evolution of US monetary policy : 2000-2007

Belongia, Michael T.; Ireland, Peter N. - 2015

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011508322

Causal effects of the Fed's large-scale asset purchases on firms' capital structure

Nocera, Andrea; Pesaran, M. Hashem - 2022

This paper investigates the short- and long-term impacts of the Federal Reserve's large-scale asset purchases (LSAPs) on the capital structure of U.S. non-financial firms. To isolate the effects of LSAPs from the impact of concurrent macroeconomic conditions, we exploit cross-industry variations...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013176956

Oil exports and the Iranian economy

Esfahani, Hadi Salehi; Mohaddes, Kamiar; Pesaran, M. Hashem - 2009

This paper develops a long run growth model for a major oil exporting economy and derives conditions under which oil … set on the Iranian economy over the period 1979Q1-2006Q4. Building an error correction specification in real output, real … the world. We also find that the Iranian economy adjusts quite quickly to the shocks in foreign output and oil exports …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003897747

The international transmission of monetary policy

Buch, Claudia M.; Bussière, Matthieu; Goldberg, Linda S.; … - 2018

This paper presents the novel results from an internationally coordinated project by the International Banking Research Network (IBRN) on the cross-border transmission of conventional and unconventional monetary policy through banks. Teams from seventeen countries use confidential micro-banking...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011877813