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order to stabilize the real economy. A modified Taylor curve, the forecast Taylor curve, showing the tradeoff between the … achieved an efficient stabilization of both inflation and the real economy and what relative weight on the stability of … inflation and the real economy has effectively been applied. Ex ante evaluation may be more relevant than evaluation ex post …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463265
This paper makes changes in monetary policy rules (or regimes) endogenous. Changes are triggered when certain endogenous variables cross specified thresholds. Rational expectations equilibria are examined in three models of threshold switching to illustrate that (i) expectations formation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466260
This paper explores ways to integrate model uncertainty into policy evaluation. We first describe a general framework for the incorporation of model uncertainty into standard econometric calculations. This framework employs Bayesian model averaging methods that have begun to appear in a range of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467771
that 1) while the Fed likely satisfied the Taylor principle in the pre-Volcker era, the US economy was still subject to … self-fulfilling fluctuations in the 1970s, 2) the US economy moved from indeterminacy to determinacy during the Volcker …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464026
Monetary policy in CEE is an important determinant in the wage bargaining process, because trade unions have to predict inflation as one component of future real wages. This paper scrutinizes whether countries in CEE that officially announce an inflation target are tempted to act...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010308235
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that the long-run behaviour of the economy depends critically on whether under the monetary-fiscal regime the steady …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295739