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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013262657
This paper summarizes the results of a large recent literature on multi year fiscal plans for deficit reduction (austerity). The key results are that deficit reduction policies based upon spending cuts are much less costly in terms of short run output losses than tax based adjustments. On...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012929010
This ppaer studies how the composition of fiscal adjustments influences their likelihood of success, defined as a long lasting deficit reduction, and their macroeconomic consequences. We find that fiscal adjustments which rely primarily on spending cuts on transfers and the government wage bill...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013244895
This paper shows that in American states balanced budget rules are effective in enforcing fiscal discipline but they have no costs in terms of increased output variability. More specifically, we show that tighter fiscal rules are associated with larger average surplus and lower cyclical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013322308
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Countries with high debt loads are vulnerable to an adverse feedback loop in which doubts by lenders lead to higher sovereign interest rates which in turn make the debt problems more severe. We analyze the recent experience of advanced economies using both econometric methods and case studies...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013077956
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This short paper argues that the view that monetary policy is ineffective during financial crises is not only wrong, but may promote policy inaction in the face of a severe contractionary shock. To the contrary, monetary policy is more potent during financial crises because aggressive monetary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012757933
What are the economic effects of an interest rate cut when an economy is in the midst of a financial crisis? Under what … ffects? We answer these questions in a general class of open economy models, where a financial crisis is modeled as a time … the traded good sector and in adjusting the rate at which that output can be used in other parts of the economy, then a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013248087
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